International conflicts arise from contradictory interests that accumulate over time, and gray zone activities can be seen as part of a larger conflict cycle that can lead to both escalation and de-escalation. A well-managed conflict in the gray zone should be able to produce strategic outcomes, but in the case of the Russia-Ukraine conflict it has gone way beyond the gray zone. The shift from a gray zone to open conflict in Ukraine offers new perspectives for examining to what extent countries may utilize and compete in the gray zone in the future, and about the levels of the threshold of aggression.
Komentarz KBN nr 6 (109) / 2023
13 kwietnia 2023 r.
International conflicts arise from contradictory interests that accumulate over time, and gray zone activities can be seen as part of a larger conflict cycle that can lead to both escalation and de-escalation. A well-managed conflict in the gray zone should be able to produce strategic outcomes, but in the case of the Russia-Ukraine conflict it has gone way beyond the gray zone. The shift from a gray zone to open conflict in Ukraine offers new perspectives for examining to what extent countries may utilize and compete in the gray zone in the future, and about the levels of the threshold of aggression.
Źródło ilustracji: Flickr.