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G. Julukhidze - Why Is Russia Dying?
19.04.2022
This commentary offers a handful of reflections on the Russian Federation. The author claims that this tremendous territorial area does not offer anything useful to the world anymore. It is technologically retarded, it has an old and inefficient education system, its scientific progress is fading, and is deeply sunk into corruption. People close to Vladimir Putin, their vassals and relatives, have gained so much wealth over the past two decades that they need ten lives to squander this fortune. The modern Russian elite has become an exclusive club depraved of moral values and principles, isolated from reality.
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M. Czajkowski - What’s Next for Russia – First Take
04.04.2022
This commentary presents some preliminary thoughts about the outcome of the Russo-Ukrainian war of 2022. The main idea is to try to assess, even if it might look premature, which factors will shape the international position of the Russian Federation in the coming months and years. There are two basic assumptions concerning that. Firstly, we believe that Vladimir Putin’s power has weakened, and his position as the chief decision-maker in Moscow is no longer secure. Secondly, Russia is about to suffer a substantial military defeat, economic downturn and social crisis of its own making for no significant benefit.
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W. Hebda - Kuda ideš Srbijo?: Will Serbia's strategic partnership with Russia survive in the aftermath of the Russian aggression against Ukraine?
02.04.2022
During the last few weeks, we have witnessed events which given the experiences of the Europeans throughout the 20th century appear unimaginable or just senseless. This refers to the Russian aggression against Ukraine, which turned into a war taking many lives every day. In this context, a diversified international reaction has also been noticeable. Most countries support the maintenance of Ukraine's territorial integrity and condemn the actions of the Russian state. Of course, there are also countries that try to maintain a neutral approach to the events in Ukraine, while few support Russia. Consequently, it is worth paying attention especially to those countries which, for various reasons, have remained in close alliance with Russia. The Republic of Serbia is certainly one of them.
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P. Orłowski - President Biden's speech in Warsaw: Pretty good, but not really…
29.03.2022
The speech of the US President Joe Biden at the Royal Castle in Warsaw on March 26, 2022 was the culmination of his visit to Poland. According to many commentators, the visit itself in such a dynamic time for the security of Europe was one of the most important visits by US presidents in history. The speech was expected to set a new direction of US policy with regard to the aggression of the Russian Federation against Ukraine and the security policy towards the region of Central and Eastern Europe. This commentary assesses the importance of this speech and lessons learnt.
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B. Kosowski - Civil society in Poland in times of the Russian military invasion of Ukraine
07.03.2022
The commentary takes up the phenomenon of the spontaneous mobilization of the Polish society following immediately the Russian military invasion of Ukraine. The author expresses the view that in the situation of the most serious crisis, which is the war in the immediate vicinity of our borders, Poles have shown an extraordinary mobilization and a great commitment to the assistance to refugees from Ukraine. This has become then part of a modern concept of security known as the humanization of security. The author points out the need to establish and improve cooperation between non-governmental organizations and public administration in order to increase the effectiveness of activities in the above-mentioned area, and therefore to use the social potential to improve the national security system of a democratic state.
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