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M. Czajkowski - Coronavirus in the Middle East – Waiting for Armageddon
16.04.2020
It is a challenging task to predict the spread of the novel coronavirus, as most of the experts underscore that its characteristics are, to a great extent new. Specifically, it is believed that this pathogen is substantially more infectious than a “normal’ flu strain. However, judging from the current information regarding the course of the pandemic in various countries, we may try to predict its trajectory in areas which have so far been less severely affected. In the Middle East, according to the official data available, the spread of Covid-19 is relatively low. Other than a high rate of infections in Iran and Turkey, the worst-hit country seems to be Saudi Arabia with only 5,862 people infected as of April 15th, 2020. But this is probably just the beginning of the outbreak in the region, and we may expect to see a catastrophic epidemic which will likely erupt in the region. It will also have severe ramifications for regional security. This commentary explores some of the worst-case scenarios. For this purpose, we assume that the Covid-19 will spread rapidly in the Middle East and affect millions of people.
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M. Kolaszyński - Thirty years of the Polish civil special services
09.04.2020
On the 6th of April 1990, the Sejm adopted the so-called police acts. According to the new law, the Citizen's Militia was substituted with the Police. The State Protection Office replaced the disbanded Security Service. The role of the Minister of the Interior also changed. Police acts passed 30 years ago were an essential step in adapting the security apparatus to the needs of a democratic rule of law.
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P. Bajor - NATO’s allied challenges
07.04.2020
The COVID-19 pandemics provoked by the coronavirus SARS-CoV-2 has been for several weeks the main topic of political debates. Its effects will have a durable impact on the international relations. Currently, a key task for both the states and international organizations is the resistance to the threat of proliferation of the virus. From NATO’s perspective, the present situation poses not only a challenge for the Alliance’s unity, but also for the key ongoing activities within the collective security system.
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A. Nyzio - The coronavirus pandemic and the Polish special services
05.04.2020
All elements of the Polish security system have been participating in activities aimed at limiting the spread of coronavirus. The pandemic has dominated the media over the past few weeks, raising concerns regarding the effectiveness of state institutions. Among others, the special services, traditionally criticized for both their weakness and omnipotence, have aroused a great deal of public interest. It is worth taking a closer look at how they may be put to use in the Vistula pandemic reality.
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B. Kosowski - Time as a determinant of an effective action in a crisis situation
03.04.2020
In the event of a crisis, the main objective is to minimize and eliminate the threat. This is aimed primarily at reducing human and material losses. There is no doubt that a good organization of undertaken activities is related to the appropriate planning which takes into account the time factor. This includes the taking and implementation of decisions which limit the escalation of threats. Time used to be one of the key factors stimulating effectiveness of the crisis management system. Based on a preliminary assessment of decision-making processes in various countries, the author advances a thesis that in the course of the current spread of the 2019-nCoV coronavirus many conditions referring to the safeguarding and efficient protection of the population were not duly observed in the context of the time factor.
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